PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gsandreodsownerTreadmilled
Record (consensus markets)no settled market81% (79–18, n=97)66% (76–39, n=115)
Consensus PnL—$136K$193K
Tracked asPM monthly #199was PM monthly #833was PM monthly #976
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (5 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Crypto −14 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 21¢, ROI +67%82% of 85 at avg 51¢, ROI +23%65% of 120 at avg 63¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 22% of 18)21% (won 0% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 95% of 22)15% (won 56% of 18)
Entries 50–70¢0%27% (won 100% of 23)14% (won 71% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up0%26% (won 100% of 22)50% (won 93% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.