PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gotigersnonkenny90itwasawholethingbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (4568–450, n=5018)61% (44–28, n=72)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL—$77K$1.9K$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #241was PM monthly #959was PM monthly #929was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position94% (104 of 111 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • F1 +7 pts n=37, ROI +16%
  • Science +6 pts n=33, ROI +13%
  • NFL +3 pts n=40, ROI +1%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=805—NBA −4 pts, n=96
Settled positions, side won—93% of 5438 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%100% of 43 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 8% of 39)7% (won 100% of 3)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 31% of 42)47% (won 100% of 20)29% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 57% of 132)40% (won 100% of 17)55% (won 53% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up—96% (won 95% of 5225)7% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.