PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gotigersarchaicwhilwhileLackvill
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (1237–174, n=1411)67% (6–3, n=9)49% (98–103, n=201)
Consensus PnL—$165K$18K$4.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #241Hand-pickedPM monthly #740was PM monthly #968
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position93% (57 of 61 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +38 pts n=12, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=30, ROI +25%
  • NFL +5 pts n=52, ROI +22%
Weakest topic—Mentions −1 pts, n=11——
Settled positions, side won—81% of 1695 at avg 78¢, ROI +1%99% of 67 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%60% of 195 at avg 52¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—16% (won 3% of 271)4% (won 100% of 3)20% (won 15% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 30% of 27)16% (won 91% of 11)19% (won 53% of 38)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 72% of 68)24% (won 100% of 16)37% (won 68% of 73)
Entries 70¢ and up—78% (won 98% of 1329)55% (won 100% of 37)23% (won 91% of 45)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.