PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gotigersarchaic0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1frede13337
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (1237–174, n=1411)48% (844–906, n=1750)63% (5–3, n=8)
Consensus PnL—$165K$3.2K$52K
Tracked asPM monthly #241Hand-pickedPM monthly #833PM monthly #334
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position93% (57 of 61 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Mentions −1 pts, n=11——
Settled positions, side won—81% of 1695 at avg 78¢, ROI +1%99% of 759 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%71% of 7 at avg 40¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—16% (won 3% of 271)3% (won 96% of 26)14% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 30% of 27)28% (won 99% of 216)57% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 72% of 68)68% (won 99% of 515)29% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—78% (won 98% of 1329)0% (won 100% of 2)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.