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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplayHomeRunHazardlllllllIlllone8tyfive
Record (consensus markets)50% (5–5, n=10)55% (216–179, n=395)36% (4–7, n=11)70% (7–3, n=10)
Consensus PnL$430K$290K$165K$10K
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #7was PM monthly #634was PM monthly #894
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (79 of 127 open)0% (0 of 1 open)0% (0 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 5 at avg 64¢, ROI +32%—
Entries under 30¢0%1% (won 100% of 1)0%—
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)0%—
Entries 50–70¢80% (won 100% of 4)57% (won 100% of 55)60% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%10% (won 100% of 10)40% (won 100% of 2)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketgoogleplayHomeRunHazardlllllllIlllone8tyfive
Flyers vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
—Flyers $4.4K—Flyers $176
Avalanche vs. Senators
same side · consensus Avalanche
—Senators $1.3K—Senators $830