PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gol702Ne8omBlackMoney788M
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (132–138, n=270)85% (17–3, n=20)49% (645–663, n=1308)
Consensus PnL—-$37K$23K$526K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #378PM monthly #894was PM monthly #629
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +46 pts n=118, ROI +43%
Weakest topic———Mentions −14 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 118 at avg 54¢, ROI +43%90% of 20 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 7)10% (won 100% of 2)27% (won 18% of 337)
Entries 30–50¢0%33% (won 100% of 39)35% (won 71% of 7)36% (won 58% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)45% (won 100% of 53)50% (won 100% of 10)30% (won 75% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up0%16% (won 100% of 19)5% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 87% of 94)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.