PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market85% (220–40, n=260)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$35K-$2.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #513was PM monthly #879
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position38% (5 of 13 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Tech −8 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 209 at avg 80¢, ROI +14%100% of 4 at avg 43¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢—16% (won 21% of 33)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 38% of 8)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 78% of 9)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—76% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.