PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market85% (11–2, n=13)47% (428–479, n=907)88% (98–13, n=111)
Consensus PnL—$16K$33K$213K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #885was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #458
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +42 pts n=33, ROI +40%
  • Esports +27 pts n=402, ROI +26%
  • NBA +17 pts n=115, ROI +18%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 11 at avg 56¢, ROI +47%71% of 629 at avg 46¢, ROI +24%100% of 69 at avg 55¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—0%12% (won 53% of 74)6% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 100% of 2)42% (won 70% of 267)36% (won 100% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 100% of 8)44% (won 76% of 279)43% (won 100% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 89% of 9)14% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.