PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
franciscojr20250x081cd40e9d1a90896612c189bf470b4fbae4f010Sisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (61–35, n=96)95% (504–28, n=532)
Consensus PnL—$171K$466K
Tracked asPM monthly #183PM monthly #898PM monthly #167
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Elections −38 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—82% of 82 at avg 53¢, ROI +16%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 33% of 6)2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 62% of 21)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢—61% (won 96% of 50)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 80% of 5)25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.