PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (420–241, n=661)63% (90–52, n=142)62% (186–112, n=298)
Consensus PnL—-$4.6K-$4.2K$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #999PM monthly #937was PM monthly #809PM monthly #947
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———Elections −3 pts, n=42
Settled positions, side won—93% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +21%76% of 133 at avg 70¢, ROI 0%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 33% of 3)1% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 19% of 74)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 82% of 39)8% (won 36% of 11)17% (won 59% of 41)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 94% of 183)39% (won 63% of 52)17% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 70¢ and up—51% (won 96% of 230)52% (won 93% of 69)36% (won 98% of 90)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.