PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fleethGoodFallen3edmond.dantesyabanci
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (2790–1886, n=4676)64% (23–13, n=36)66% (38–20, n=58)
Consensus PnL—$69K-$1.1M$484K
Tracked asPM monthly #999PM monthly #217PM monthly #496PM monthly #37
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +37 pts n=1512, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +25 pts n=10, ROI +31%
  • Esports +14 pts n=21, ROI +1%
  • NBA +5 pts n=13, ROI +24%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 1512 at avg 62¢, ROI +36%100% of 23 at avg 57¢, ROI +43%65% of 55 at avg 52¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 100% of 62)4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 100% of 248)26% (won 100% of 6)35% (won 47% of 19)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 99% of 666)57% (won 100% of 13)47% (won 81% of 26)
Entries 70¢ and up—35% (won 100% of 536)13% (won 100% of 3)9% (won 80% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.