PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fleetheasymoneysniperzzdarkumbreon880x071641292ee6fac7bc752e05a1a536f7654c522b
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (432–484, n=916)66% (1624–844, n=2468)49% (49–50, n=99)
Consensus PnL—$32K-$6.7K-$1.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #957was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #833was PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)100% (2 of 2 open)67% (8 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +42 pts n=33, ROI +40%
  • Esports +27 pts n=402, ROI +26%
  • NBA +17 pts n=115, ROI +18%
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Tennis −4 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—71% of 629 at avg 46¢, ROI +24%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 53% of 74)1% (won 100% of 16)5% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—42% (won 70% of 267)9% (won 100% of 133)0%
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 76% of 279)38% (won 100% of 552)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 89% of 9)51% (won 100% of 743)95% (won 94% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.