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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1pizzabillgates
Record (consensus markets)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (3–3, n=6)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$5.3M$4.8M-$72K
Tracked asPM monthly #131PM monthly #2PM monthly #97PM monthly #723
Sides with the consensus64% (21 of 33 open)no open consensus position73% (53 of 73 open)94% (32 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%50% of 8 at avg 40¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 186)50% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 267)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 326)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 619)38% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1pizzabillgates
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.9KYes $7.7K