PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fbetEgorkasxxMEPPPitter
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (46–28, n=74)65% (345–184, n=529)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$22K$557K$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #834was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #959 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus100% (7 of 7 open)no open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +23 pts n=20, ROI +39%
  • Esports +16 pts n=26, ROI +26%
  • NHL +4 pts n=12, ROI +17%
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won93% of 14 at avg 69¢, ROI +26%76% of 63 at avg 61¢, ROI +22%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 3)20% (won 14% of 151)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 3)29% (won 44% of 18)11% (won 34% of 82)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 100% of 1)30% (won 84% of 19)19% (won 66% of 144)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 100% of 9)37% (won 91% of 23)51% (won 93% of 390)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfbetEgorkasxxMEPPPitter
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.4K—Yes $1.3K—
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.8KNo $97