PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin3calm919TrunglBoomLaLa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (238–31, n=269)64% (420–239, n=659)66% (5377–2808, n=8185)
Consensus PnL—$18K-$1.9K$644K
Tracked asPM monthly #723PM monthly #603PM monthly #801PM monthly #717
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—92% of 252 at avg 71¢, ROI +21%93% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +21%85% of 4167 at avg 58¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢—0%1% (won 33% of 3)7% (won 34% of 290)
Entries 30–50¢—11% (won 70% of 27)9% (won 82% of 39)35% (won 78% of 1465)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 94% of 80)40% (won 94% of 183)27% (won 92% of 1130)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 95% of 145)51% (won 96% of 230)31% (won 98% of 1282)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.