PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin332555Gr33d0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (77–79, n=156)88% (2298–315, n=2613)93% (56495–4187, n=60682)
Consensus PnL—$13K$37K$7.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #723was PM monthly #567Hand-pickedPM monthly #710
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +33 pts n=43, ROI +33%
  • MLB +32 pts n=25, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +21 pts n=18, ROI +29%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=61974, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=53—
Settled positions, side won—83% of 89 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%92% of 3431 at avg 91¢, ROI 0%100% of 61974 at avg 64¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 88% of 8)3% (won 14% of 107)3% (won 100% of 1837)
Entries 30–50¢—48% (won 77% of 43)1% (won 48% of 44)16% (won 100% of 9770)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 90% of 21)5% (won 59% of 168)44% (won 100% of 27390)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 88% of 17)91% (won 98% of 3112)37% (won 100% of 22977)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.