PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin332555wagwanshawtyKangta8585
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (77–79, n=156)67% (2–1, n=3)67% (1055–511, n=1566)
Consensus PnL—$13K$74K$350K
Tracked asPM monthly #723was PM monthly #567PM monthly #258was PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +33 pts n=43, ROI +33%
  • MLB +32 pts n=25, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +21 pts n=18, ROI +29%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———College Basketball −4 pts, n=55
Settled positions, side won—83% of 89 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%100% of 2 at avg 79¢, ROI +28%67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 88% of 8)0%4% (won 26% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—48% (won 77% of 43)0%24% (won 53% of 507)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 90% of 21)50% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 70% of 1052)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 88% of 17)50% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 84% of 462)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.