PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin332555Trunglvfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (77–79, n=156)64% (420–239, n=659)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—$13K-$1.9K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #723was PM monthly #567PM monthly #801PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +33 pts n=43, ROI +33%
  • MLB +32 pts n=25, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +21 pts n=18, ROI +29%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—83% of 89 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%93% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +21%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 88% of 8)1% (won 33% of 3)0%
Entries 30–50¢—48% (won 77% of 43)9% (won 82% of 39)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 90% of 21)40% (won 94% of 183)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 88% of 17)51% (won 96% of 230)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.