← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin3 | basedcigany | hanbetscap | Satanishippie | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (151–89, n=240) | 65% (396–216, n=612) | 49% (324–338, n=662) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.1K | $48K | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #723 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #673 | was PM monthly #917 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | Finance −8 pts, n=42 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 72% of 426 at avg 71¢, ROI 0% | 63% of 593 at avg 63¢, ROI +3% | 83% of 402 at avg 56¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 27% (won 6% of 117) | 5% (won 29% of 28) | 2% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 3% (won 62% of 13) | 14% (won 40% of 83) | 23% (won 75% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 3% (won 55% of 11) | 44% (won 55% of 258) | 66% (won 86% of 264) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 67% (won 100% of 285) | 38% (won 85% of 224) | 9% (won 89% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.