PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin3gonnachangelaterBoomLaLa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (157–87, n=244)66% (5377–2808, n=8185)
Consensus PnL—$42K$644K
Tracked asPM monthly #954was PM monthly #944PM monthly #711
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—98% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%85% of 4167 at avg 58¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢—0%7% (won 34% of 290)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 80% of 5)35% (won 78% of 1465)
Entries 50–70¢—41% (won 100% of 24)27% (won 92% of 1130)
Entries 70¢ and up—51% (won 100% of 30)31% (won 98% of 1282)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.