PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin3ethanazGr33dKangta8585
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (615–340, n=955)88% (2298–315, n=2613)67% (1055–511, n=1566)
Consensus PnL—$629K$37K$350K
Tracked asPM monthly #723was PM monthly #46Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=53College Basketball −4 pts, n=55
Settled positions, side won—100% of 633 at avg 61¢, ROI +35%92% of 3431 at avg 91¢, ROI 0%67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 30)3% (won 14% of 107)4% (won 26% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—27% (won 99% of 168)1% (won 48% of 44)24% (won 53% of 507)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 100% of 231)5% (won 59% of 168)50% (won 70% of 1052)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 100% of 204)91% (won 98% of 3112)22% (won 84% of 462)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.