PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (1140–647, n=1787)49% (133–138, n=271)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—-$163K-$36K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #723was PM monthly #982PM monthly #374PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +46 pts n=118, ROI +43%
Weakest topic—NFL −12 pts, n=45——
Settled positions, side won—63% of 1774 at avg 62¢, ROI −1%100% of 118 at avg 54¢, ROI +43%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 10% of 228)6% (won 100% of 7)0%
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 34% of 260)33% (won 100% of 39)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 64% of 582)45% (won 100% of 53)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 90% of 704)16% (won 100% of 19)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.