← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin3 | 3648393489047 | 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Anon455 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 64% (1140–647, n=1787) | 93% (56495–4187, n=60682) | 63% (1062–611, n=1673) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$163K | $7.2M | -$5.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #723 | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #710 | PM monthly #768 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 22% (2 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −12 pts, n=45 | — | NBA −7 pts, n=96 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 63% of 1774 at avg 62¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 61974 at avg 64¢, ROI +38% | 63% of 1312 at avg 58¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 13% (won 10% of 228) | 3% (won 100% of 1837) | 18% (won 10% of 234) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 15% (won 34% of 260) | 16% (won 100% of 9770) | 16% (won 36% of 210) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 33% (won 64% of 582) | 44% (won 100% of 27390) | 28% (won 73% of 362) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 40% (won 90% of 704) | 37% (won 100% of 22977) | 39% (won 93% of 506) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | errormargin3 | 3648393489047 | 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Anon455 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner opposite sides · consensus LOS | — | LOS $12K | — | Team Secret Whales $1.7K |