PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
elenaarybakin21AngryRhino0x0945A88cCf387E296785F071F725e4dc01dFb9bd-1772195461282
Record (consensus markets)no settled market85% (104–18, n=122)47% (15–17, n=32)
Consensus PnL—$25K$9.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #941was PM monthly #961was PM monthly #817
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)86% (12 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won50% of 468 at avg 37¢, ROI +9%86% of 178 at avg 75¢, ROI +3%100% of 14 at avg 33¢, ROI +70%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 29% of 139)10% (won 29% of 17)43% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢56% (won 55% of 260)10% (won 65% of 17)50% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 67% of 55)12% (won 86% of 21)7% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 14)69% (won 97% of 123)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.