PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
eightpenguinssainttroplaybeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)67% (259–127, n=386)71% (10–4, n=14)69% (43–19, n=62)56% (100–79, n=179)
Consensus PnL$306K$4.4M$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #751was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus56% (15 of 27 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +45 pts n=19, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +34 pts n=45, ROI +38%
  • Esports +35 pts n=26, ROI +48%
Weakest topic——NBA −4 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%96% of 100 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—0%3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 57% of 63)24% (won 96% of 24)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)55% (won 53% of 118)44% (won 98% of 44)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%13% (won 86% of 29)25% (won 96% of 25)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.