PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
drugi.mlazAngryRhinoForesightOracle
Record (consensus markets)no settled market85% (104–18, n=122)89% (39–5, n=44)
Consensus PnL—$25K$140K
Tracked asPM monthly #916was PM monthly #961Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (12 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 29¢, ROI +71%86% of 178 at avg 75¢, ROI +3%86% of 64 at avg 85¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢67% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 29% of 17)11% (won 0% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 65% of 17)3% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢0%12% (won 86% of 21)0%
Entries 70¢ and up0%69% (won 97% of 123)86% (won 100% of 55)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.