PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
djokovic21DonaldinhoTrumpito177-letsgo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (322–163, n=485)86% (83–14, n=97)
Consensus PnL—-$290K-$175K
Tracked asPM monthly #996PM monthly #598 + pinnedwas PM monthly #135
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Elections ±0 pts, n=183—
Settled positions, side won—76% of 595 at avg 73¢, ROI 0%98% of 83 at avg 90¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 6% of 83)0%
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 35% of 48)0%
Entries 50–70¢—12% (won 65% of 74)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—66% (won 97% of 390)100% (won 98% of 83)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.