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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| denizz | ndb1 | RanaAmariPredicts | RememberAmalek | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (207–87, n=294) | 58% (419–300, n=719) | no settled market | 74% (470–167, n=637) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $4.7M | — | $1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #157 | PM monthly #908 | PM monthly #153 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (25 of 27 open) | 70% (57 of 81 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (81 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=10 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — | 61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — | 37% (won 10% of 193) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — | 13% (won 67% of 66) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — | 14% (won 88% of 74) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — | 37% (won 99% of 192) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | denizz | ndb1 | RanaAmariPredicts | RememberAmalek |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | No $40K | — | — | Yes $549 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | — | — | No $6 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | — | Yes $115 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.3K | — | — | Yes $2.6K |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | — | Yes $1.6K |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | — | No $4.8K |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No | No $5.1K | — | — | No $1.1K |