← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| denizz | RememberAmalek | SineNooneEI | Villson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 73% (388–147, n=535) | 92% (471–42, n=513) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $824K | $1.0M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #937 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (25 of 28 open) | 55% (86 of 156 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | Crypto −1 pts, n=10 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 37% (won 10% of 193) | 5% (won 83% of 23) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 13% (won 67% of 66) | 36% (won 88% of 182) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 14% (won 88% of 74) | 44% (won 93% of 224) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 37% (won 99% of 192) | 16% (won 99% of 82) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | denizz | RememberAmalek | SineNooneEI | Villson |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | No $40K | Yes $549 | — | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | No $6 | — | — |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | Yes $115 | — | — |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.3K | Yes $2.6K | — | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | Yes $1.6K | — | — |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | No $4.8K | — | — |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No | No $5.1K | No $1.1K | — | — |