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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kingofcoinflips | manekineko | Vitaaalya | vfhjghj1231234 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (57–124, n=181) | 87% (337–52, n=389) | 66% (72–37, n=109) | 89% (47–6, n=53) |
| Consensus PnL | $354K | $76K | $76K | $65K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #918 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | PM monthly #279 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (9 of 12 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Politics −2 pts, n=55 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 152 at avg 68¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 444 at avg 85¢, ROI +1% | 62% of 233 at avg 54¢, ROI +1% | 90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 23% of 22) | 8% (won 9% of 34) | 33% (won 21% of 76) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 100% of 7) | 4% (won 35% of 17) | 10% (won 26% of 23) | 22% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 97% of 33) | 5% (won 63% of 24) | 15% (won 76% of 34) | 68% (won 100% of 28) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 90) | 83% (won 97% of 369) | 43% (won 97% of 100) | 10% (won 75% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kingofcoinflips | manekineko | Vitaaalya | vfhjghj1231234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $21K | No $860 | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.6K | No $1.4K | — |