PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bubananaodsowner88M
Record (consensus markets)no settled market81% (79–18, n=97)49% (645–662, n=1307)
Consensus PnL—$136K$526K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #936was PM monthly #833was PM monthly #629
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (5 of 5 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Mentions −14 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won74% of 87 at avg 47¢, ROI +33%82% of 85 at avg 51¢, ROI +23%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 71% of 7)21% (won 22% of 18)27% (won 18% of 337)
Entries 30–50¢52% (won 67% of 45)26% (won 95% of 22)36% (won 58% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 80% of 30)27% (won 100% of 23)30% (won 75% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 100% of 22)7% (won 87% of 94)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.