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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyau0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MayorMamdanimaiqiuyangjia
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (29907–19650, n=49557)62% (20059–12041, n=32100)65% (34–18, n=52)
Consensus PnL—$94K$17K$224K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776PM monthly #350PM monthly #673was PM monthly #403
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (12 of 15 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +38 pts n=13935, ROI +28%
  • Crypto +23 pts n=2957, ROI +27%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=38, ROI +34%
  • NBA +24 pts n=21, ROI +7%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13953 at avg 61¢, ROI +28%100% of 2957 at avg 77¢, ROI +27%77% of 78 at avg 45¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 98% of 465)3% (won 100% of 86)6% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—46% (won 100% of 6358)8% (won 100% of 251)73% (won 86% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 100% of 2743)19% (won 100% of 556)21% (won 63% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 4387)70% (won 100% of 2064)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketboyau0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MayorMamdanimaiqiuyangjia
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
same side · consensus Down
—Down $311Down $320—
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
same side · consensus Down
—Up $16Up $213—
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
same side · consensus Down
—Up $52Up $20—