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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 27
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up44%
Down56%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance46.2%
43.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.7¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$116.32
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
216.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xbc2e2f59...e3e6d5
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1793061000