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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyauKev690x8c954010a6edf997aa05835f63c798b33e8f00fedarkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (622–445, n=1067)60% (3–2, n=5)66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—$61K$511-$6.7K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #845was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +35 pts n=132, ROI +39%
  • NHL +32 pts n=52, ROI +32%
  • Soccer +28 pts n=127, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—82% of 847 at avg 59¢, ROI +22%0% of 3 at avg 2¢, ROI +80%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 37% of 76)100% (won 0% of 3)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 72% of 156)0%9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—42% (won 89% of 358)0%38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 257)0%51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketboyauKev690x8c954010a6edf997aa05835f63c798b33e8f00fedarkumbreon88
Wizards vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $201—Wizards $50