PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyau0xe7d35952ac1792cec67765261a85a4ccb466b483Tyatsmrbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (90–66, n=156)62% (186–112, n=298)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL—$3.8K$19K$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #255was PM monthly #997PM monthly #775was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +22 pts n=23, ROI +29%
  • MLB +12 pts n=16, ROI +16%
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——Elections −3 pts, n=42NBA −4 pts, n=96
Settled positions, side won—77% of 62 at avg 49¢, ROI +27%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 50% of 6)30% (won 19% of 74)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 83% of 23)17% (won 59% of 41)29% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—53% (won 79% of 33)17% (won 93% of 42)55% (won 53% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%36% (won 98% of 90)13% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.