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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Tyatsmr | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 60% (29907–19650, n=49557) | 62% (186–112, n=298) | 67% (476–237, n=713) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $94K | $19K | $10.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #255 | PM monthly #340 | PM monthly #775 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 92% (11 of 12 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 75% (38 of 51 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −3 pts, n=42 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 13953 at avg 61¢, ROI +28% | 67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 98% of 465) | 30% (won 19% of 74) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 46% (won 100% of 6358) | 17% (won 59% of 41) | 34% (won 98% of 169) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 20% (won 100% of 2743) | 17% (won 93% of 42) | 34% (won 99% of 170) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 4387) | 36% (won 98% of 90) | 21% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Tyatsmr | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $7.5K | — | No $118K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.8K | — | No $16K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $5.0K | — | No $120K |