← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bluemol | hideo | Rin2x | themain | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 87% (174–27, n=201) | 89% (1742–219, n=1961) | 65% (32–17, n=49) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $123K | $31K | -$244K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #941 | was PM monthly #920 + pinned | was PM monthly #806 | was PM monthly #590 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 91% (10 of 11 open) | 91% (21 of 23 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=116 | Crypto ±0 pts, n=1249 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 85% of 340 at avg 84¢, ROI +3% | 92% of 1786 at avg 91¢, ROI +2% | 90% of 29 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 4% (won 8% of 12) | 2% (won 13% of 30) | 10% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 4% (won 42% of 12) | 2% (won 40% of 30) | 24% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 7% (won 52% of 25) | 3% (won 51% of 53) | 28% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 86% (won 92% of 291) | 94% (won 95% of 1673) | 38% (won 100% of 11) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bluemol | hideo | Rin2x | themain |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $98 | — |