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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| mombil | Satanishippie | noreasapa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (1079–754, n=1833) | 49% (320–335, n=655) | 93% (3539–260, n=3799) |
| Consensus PnL | $498K | -$105K | $139K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #857 + pinned | was PM monthly #917 | was PM monthly #977 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (51 of 73 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Science −3 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 2092 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 83% of 384 at avg 56¢, ROI +28% | 93% of 3591 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 10% of 1013) | 2% (won 44% of 9) | 6% (won 13% of 212) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 52% of 247) | 21% (won 73% of 80) | 2% (won 51% of 55) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 71% of 252) | 67% (won 86% of 257) | 1% (won 72% of 39) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 95% of 580) | 10% (won 89% of 38) | 91% (won 100% of 3285) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | mombil | Satanishippie | noreasapa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1 | — | Yes $5.0K |