PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mombilbeautifulobsessionSatanishippie
Record (consensus markets)59% (1079–754, n=1833)67% (87–43, n=130)49% (320–335, n=655)
Consensus PnL$498K$100K-$105K
Tracked asPM monthly #857 + pinnedPM monthly #316was PM monthly #917
Sides with the consensus70% (51 of 73 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won46% of 2092 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%68% of 130 at avg 61¢, ROI +11%83% of 384 at avg 56¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 10% of 1013)3% (won 0% of 4)2% (won 44% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 52% of 247)22% (won 43% of 28)21% (won 73% of 80)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 71% of 252)41% (won 68% of 53)67% (won 86% of 257)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 95% of 580)35% (won 89% of 45)10% (won 89% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.