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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplayndb10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| beachboy4 | tugator | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 13% (36–244, n=280) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.8M | -$138K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #728 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 89% (83 of 93 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Crypto −34 pts, n=189 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 22% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI −19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 0% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 78% (won 10% of 167) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 5% (won 36% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 13% (won 100% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | tugator |
|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $65 | Yes $14K |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.1K | Yes $107 |