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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677skadii
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)47% (171–195, n=366)
Consensus PnL—$5.6M-$107K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1was PM monthly #656
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%47% of 351 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)27% (won 15% of 95)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)31% (won 43% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 66% of 90)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)16% (won 79% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.