Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4RN1sainttroplaywesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (13362–14874, n=28236)no settled market99% (1864–12, n=1876)
Consensus PnL—$14.8M—$9.4K
Tracked as—PM monthly #24 + pinned—PM monthly #624
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (113 of 174 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—100% of 1432 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2538)—0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5565)—0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 9017)—0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 100% of 8250)—99% (won 100% of 1422)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.