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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplaysoared
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)71% (10–4, n=14)no settled market
Consensus PnL$6.1M$11.0M$4.4M$15K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #210
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)75% (83 of 110 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93———
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%—
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 79% of 58)0%—
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 200)50% (won 100% of 5)—
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 194)50% (won 100% of 5)—
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplaysoared
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $295K—Yes $76K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $43K—No $91K