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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Gdub | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 75% (544–179, n=723) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $15K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (39 of 57 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −1 pts, n=151 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 78% of 773 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 15% of 95) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 7% (won 43% of 56) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 9% (won 68% of 68) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 72% (won 93% of 554) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Gdub | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5.4K | No $166 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $795 | Yes $225 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $21K | Yes $285 | — |