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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| babybells | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | SlavaUkraini | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 86% (12–2, n=14) | 87% (26–4, n=30) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $8.4M | $285K | $326K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #989 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 79% (31 of 39 open) | 74% (43 of 58 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | babybells | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | SlavaUkraini |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $71K | No $15K | — |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $53K | Yes $690 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $76K | Yes $30K |