PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)46% (115–133, n=248)95% (1939–95, n=2034)
Consensus PnL$144K$79K$36.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #940PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +3 pts n=153, ROI +2%
  • NHL +8 pts n=14, ROI −14%
Weakest topic—Soccer −9 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won80% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%47% of 250 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%18% (won 18% of 44)1% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 47% of 88)41% (won 100% of 670)
Entries 50–70¢0%40% (won 53% of 101)49% (won 100% of 805)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 80% of 10)7% (won 88% of 17)9% (won 100% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.