PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
akoollgo7897765d0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1620xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (74–9, n=83)95% (1081–60, n=1141)92% (705–64, n=769)
Consensus PnL—$45K$42K$14.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #841PM monthly #319Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Science −5 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—93% of 98 at avg 52¢, ROI +42%98% of 1366 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 86% of 7)1% (won 29% of 17)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 94% of 32)1% (won 69% of 13)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢—51% (won 92% of 50)2% (won 80% of 30)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 9)96% (won 99% of 1306)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.