PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zptml00gringo00sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)70% (26–11, n=37)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (502–616, n=1118)
Consensus PnL$22K$3.5M$4.4M$11.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #131was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position69% (24 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 41 at avg 64¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 13% of 8)0%0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 80% of 5)0%50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 88% of 8)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 95% of 20)0%0%20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.