PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zptml00gringo00BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)70% (26–11, n=37)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (502–616, n=1118)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$22K$3.5M$11.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #131was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position69% (24 of 35 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 41 at avg 64¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 13% of 8)0%10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 80% of 5)0%35% (won 98% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 88% of 8)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 176)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 95% of 20)0%20% (won 100% of 105)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.