PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ZaratustraKkunn00100010000011000x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (224–250, n=474)81% (1284–298, n=1582)47% (125–143, n=268)
Consensus PnL—$317K$127K$19.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #492was PM monthly #599was PM monthly #799was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +18 pts n=1284, ROI +10%
  • F1 +20 pts n=26, ROI +13%
  • NFL +13 pts n=36, ROI +3%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——NBA −2 pts, n=70College Basketball −12 pts, n=163
Settled positions, side won—73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 45% of 75)11% (won 45% of 155)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 76% of 111)11% (won 72% of 159)42% (won 47% of 535)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 85% of 113)16% (won 89% of 232)57% (won 51% of 729)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 14)63% (won 97% of 911)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.